Technologies most affected by the new IDS rule changes

The proposed IDS rule changes is expected to reduce the number of references submitted to the patent office with each patent application. Although not yet public, the rules are expected to include, inter alia, a 20 reference barrier. If more than 20 references are submitted, they must be accompanied with an extensive explanation. [More details] The patent office can point to several patents as examples of why, in its view, a rule is needed. Ronald A. Katz’s Patent No. 6,678,360 is a prime example. That patent cites over 1,500 references. 

Using a group of 80,000 patents issued in 2006, I looked at how the rules might impact the various art units and the PTO as a whole.

From my sample, 25.1% of issued patents list more than 20 references. Patents listing more than 20 references have an average of 28 references.  Some of these references may be cited by the PTO — However, the vast majority of references in patents citing 20+ are cited by the applicant.  Running the numbers — this means that the PTO could review 720,000 fewer references next year. (Assuming that the new rules eliminated 8 reference from each application citing 20+ references and that the PTO again examined 360,000+ applications). 

The rules will almost certainly have a disparate impact on various art units within the PTO because some art units typically receive more cited references than others. Semiconductor patents, for instance, rarely have 20+ references, while most molecular biology patents cite 20+ references.  There is also some correlation with the number of references cited and the expected examination delay within the PTO. The following table provides more detail.

Art Unit Description

Art Unit (Mod)

Expected Delay to OA (Months)

Count of Pats in Sample

Percent of Patents with >20 Refs

Avg +20 Refs

Average Number of Refs

Semiconductor, electrical, optical

2890

20.4

36

8.3%

2.4

11.9

Machine elements and power

3680

24

1389

14.8%

2.4

13.6

Semiconductors and electrical circuits

2810

19.2

6878

14.8%

4.2

13.9

Miscellaneous computer applications

2190

35.9

65

20.0%

2.3

14.3

Power generation and distribution

2830

19.4

5488

15.3%

4.4

14.8

Computer architecture

2110

26.6

351

18.8%

3.9

15.6

Computerized vehicle controls

3660

20.4

1421

21.6%

4.4

16.0

Liquid crystals, optical elements

2870

19.1

5505

18.7%

5.6

16.3

Thermal and combustion technology

3740

19.6

5016

18.8%

4.7

16.3

Material and article handling

3650

22.2

1548

20.2%

4.4

16.6

Computer architecture

2180

26.9

1659

17.4%

6.1

16.9

Fluid handling and dispensing

3750

22

2167

19.5%

5.3

17.0

Plants

1660

16.8

19

26.3%

3.9

17.2

Surface transportation

3610

19.9

2543

24.8%

4.1

17.2

Semiconductors and electrical circuits

2820

19.7

4853

20.4%

7.2

18.0

Chemical products and processes

1750

23.1

3000

26.2%

6.1

18.3

Miscellaneous computer applications

2120

28.5

1146

24.2%

6.2

18.6

Packages and containers

3720

20

4169

23.4%

6.0

18.6

Aeronautics, agriculture, fishing

3640

17.8

1279

26.7%

5.4

18.9

Static structures, supports

3630

22.8

2110

24.5%

5.6

19.0

Food technology, petroleum processing

1760

28.9

2229

27.2%

7.0

19.6

Metallurgy, electrochemistry

1740

30.2

2752

25.0%

7.7

19.8

Cryptography, security

2130

36.4

790

21.9%

8.1

19.8

Amusement and education devices

3710

23.5

1237

27.1%

7.1

20.1

Stock materials

1770

22.2

1940

27.9%

7.9

20.5

Graphical user interface, data bases

2160

35

258

29.1%

7.0

20.6

Fluid separation and agitation,

1720

21.9

2220

30.5%

7.3

20.7

Glass and paper making, tobacco

1730

16

1630

27.1%

8.2

21.0

Synthetic resins

1710

23.5

2740

30.0%

8.8

21.8

Electronic commerce

3620

45.4

835

31.0%

9.3

23.1

Wells, earth boring/moving/working

3670

19.2

2447

29.1%

9.4

23.3

Organic chemistry

1620

24.1

3146

33.1%

11.5

24.1

Body treatment, kinestherapy

3760

24.8

2211

31.7%

12.6

25.7

Computer networks

2140

40

186

41.9%

13.5

27.8

Organic compounds

1610

29.9

1761

41.0%

16.8

30.4

Fermentation, microbiology,

1650

22.8

1292

43.3%

19.1

32.9

Medical instruments, diagnostic

3730

28.5

2550

40.9%

21.6

35.7

Immunology

1640

27.5

1294

56.3%

25.9

41.5

Molecular biology, bioinformatics

1630

25.9

1383

54.8%

29.3

44.2

Totals

83543

25.1%

8.0

20.1